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The dynamics of Turkey,Iran and Syria in the wake of International players

 

The dynamics of Turkey,Iran and Syria in the wake of International players


Turkey's strikes against Iraq and Syria are primarily aimed at targeting the Syrian Kurdish armed group, the People's Protections Unit (YPG), which Turkey views as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), an armed group based in Turkey and Iraq considered a terrorist organization by Turkey ¹.

The conflict has resulted in significant humanitarian consequences, including:

- Disruption of Essential Services: Millions of people have been left without access to electricity, water, and medical care due to Turkish strikes on critical infrastructure ¹.
- Damage to Civilian Infrastructure: Hospitals, bakeries, and water facilities have been rendered inoperable, and fuel shortages are affecting cooking, heating, and farming ¹.
- Humanitarian Crisis: The Northeast Syria NGO Forum reports that over 2 million people have limited access to safe water, and 1 million people are without electricity .

Turkey's actions have been widely criticized, with human rights organizations calling for an immediate halt to targeting civilian infrastructure and respect for international humanitarian law .

The United States has responded to recent attacks in Iraq and Syria by conducting airstrikes targeting Iran-backed militant groups. On February 2, 2024, US forces launched strikes against seven facilities used by groups affiliated with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force, including command and control centers, intelligence facilities, and weapons storage facilities .

Targets and Impact
The strikes, carried out by US Central Command forces, hit over 85 targets across Iraq and Syria, with more than 80 of the targets destroyed or rendered inoperable ¹. The operation involved B-1B bombers deployed from Dyess Air Force Base in Texas, flying a 15,000-mile round trip that required 44 hours .

Reactions
US Response
President Joe Biden stated that the strikes marked the beginning of the US response to the attacks, emphasizing that the US will continue to defend its people and hold accountable those who harm Americans ¹. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin echoed this resolve, pledging additional actions against the IRGC and affiliated militias.

International Reactions
- Iraq: The Iraqi government condemned the attacks as a "new aggression" against its sovereignty .
- Syria: The Syrian Ministry of Defence slammed the "aggression of the American occupation forces" .
- Iran: The Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the attacks, calling them a "strategic error" that will intensify instability in the region .

Resolving the Turkey-Syria-Iraq conflict requires a multifaceted approach, considering international power politics. Short-term solutions include ceasefire agreements, humanitarian aid, and diplomatic engagement between Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Kurdish groups.

Long-term solutions involve establishing an autonomous Kurdish region through negotiated settlement, enhancing border security with joint patrols and intelligence sharing, fostering economic cooperation through regional trade and investment initiatives, and international mediation by organizations like the UN, EU or Arab League.

Regional and global involvement is crucial, including US-Russia-Turkey dialogue to manage competing interests, EU support through economic and diplomatic backing, Arab League engagement for regional consensus-building and UN peacekeeping forces.

Key challenges include competing interests among regional and global powers, balancing Turkish concerns with Kurdish aspirations, managing Sunni-Shia tensions and addressing legitimate security concerns about terrorism.

Potential outcomes include a federated Syria with decentralized governance and Kurdish autonomy, normalized Turkey-Syria relations through economic cooperation and security pacts and strengthened Iraqi governance and regional stability.

International organizations like the UN, EU and Arab League must play pivotal roles in peacekeeping, mediation, humanitarian aid, diplomatic support, economic aid and migration management.

Finally, power politics considerations involve balancing US influence, managing Russian involvement in Syrian and Iranian alliances, addressing Chinese economic and strategic investments and ensuring European engagement through diplomatic and economic support.

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